Have Global Markets Surged Too High, Too Fast?

September 1st, 2009

Market Highlights:

  • China Recovers Modestly
  • European Equities Drag Despite Improved Data
  • AUD Sinks as RBA Keeps Rates Steady

China Recovers Modestly

Following yesterday’s stock market lashing, Asian equities were able to stage a modest comeback throughout their overnight trading session. The Shanghai Composite Index dusted itself off and added a shade under 1% off the back of an upbeat financial sector and improved manufacturing data. China’s PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) for August rang in with a reading of 54, up from July’s 53.3 result. Traditionally, Read Full Article »

Aussie Falters as China Hopes Fizzle

March 20th, 2009

The Australian dollar has retreated from highs seen yesterday again testing support levels around 0.6300 as a correction swept across markets.  Talk of the Chinese stimulus package proved to be overdone in what was a classic case of buy the rumour and sell the fact. Chinese premier Wen Jiabao disappointed markets as he failed to announce any addition to the original 4-trillion-Yuan stimulus package in his annual speech overnight. Read Full Article »

Banking Worries Dominate

March 9th, 2009

Lloyds Nationalized

In a move meant to bring stability to the British banking system, the UK government effectively took control of Lloyds bank on Friday in exchange for the guaranteeing of around 260 billion pounds worth of the institution’s toxic loans.  This guarantee means that the government’s stake in the UK’s largest mortgage lender has now moved up to 75% (from 43% before the announcement), while the price of the stock fell another 8% on Friday.  It has been reported that Barclays bank may also be looking for taxpayer assistance to remove some of the bad loans from its balance sheet.  Barclays is the only major UK bank that has yet to receive any government assistance, but it appears that even the most well capitalized banks are not immune to the rash of defaults that have been occurring worldwide.  Shares of the bank slid 12% on the news, while HSBC bank lost over 10% on mounting losses from its US unit.  And, as the central bank begins its quantitative easing regime, UK government bonds are at their lowest yields since the late 80s.  With nothing but bad news coming out of the UK, it is no surprise that the pound continues to get punished and is off over 2% overnight, once again trading well under $1.40.

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Desperate Times Call for Desperate Measures

March 9th, 2009

UK cuts interest rates and officially introduces QE

The Bank Of England cut interest rates again on Thursday by 50 basis points, leaving them at 0.5% as expected. This was coupled with the announcement that Quantitative Easing will now take place with an initial £75Billion being injected into the economy. The MPC have set a benchmark of £150Billion to enable inflation to get to it’s required rate of 2%. Normally deemed as a negative move in an economy, this decision appears to be supportive of the pound with the current economic crisis enforcing such actions. Fridays Production Price Index came in higher than expected at 0.6%, however, the annual rate was 0.5% which was down from Januarys revised rate of 1.5%. Read Full Article »

Aussie Falters as China Hopes Fizzle

March 6th, 2009

The Australian dollar has retreated from highs seen yesterday again testing support levels around 0.6300 as a correction across markets was prompted.  Talk of the Chinese stimulus package proved to be overdone in what was a classic case of buy the rumour and sell the fact. Chinese premier Wen Jiabao disappointed markets as he failed to announce any addition to the original 4-trillion-Yuan stimulus package in his annual speech overnight. Read Full Article »