CAD Rally Continues Despite Data

March 13th, 2009

Jobs Data and Trade Balance Both Disappoint

USDCAD continues to grind lower this morning with the pair briefly trading with a 1.26 handle despite a rather sobering run of Canadian data released ahead of the North American open. Though Canada’s performance, with respect to the employment market, has been well ahead of that of the US over the past 15 months, Canadian businesses are now clearly shedding positions at a rate that could soon see Canada’s unemployment rate rival that of its southern neighbour. Read Full Article »

Banking Worries Dominate

March 9th, 2009

Lloyds Nationalized

In a move meant to bring stability to the British banking system, the UK government effectively took control of Lloyds bank on Friday in exchange for the guaranteeing of around 260 billion pounds worth of the institution’s toxic loans.  This guarantee means that the government’s stake in the UK’s largest mortgage lender has now moved up to 75% (from 43% before the announcement), while the price of the stock fell another 8% on Friday.  It has been reported that Barclays bank may also be looking for taxpayer assistance to remove some of the bad loans from its balance sheet.  Barclays is the only major UK bank that has yet to receive any government assistance, but it appears that even the most well capitalized banks are not immune to the rash of defaults that have been occurring worldwide.  Shares of the bank slid 12% on the news, while HSBC bank lost over 10% on mounting losses from its US unit.  And, as the central bank begins its quantitative easing regime, UK government bonds are at their lowest yields since the late 80s.  With nothing but bad news coming out of the UK, it is no surprise that the pound continues to get punished and is off over 2% overnight, once again trading well under $1.40.

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Markets Little Changed in Thin Holiday Trade

February 16th, 2009

Currencies Subdued

Currencies were little changed overnight due in large part to the President’s Day holiday in the US today.  Most of the majors are close to where they finished last week and should move in a choppy, sideways manner due to illiquid conditions today.  Equity markets in Asia took a beating, however, as Japan released their Q4 2008 GDP results, which came in at an eye-popping contraction of 3.3%!  This is the sharpest drop in Japanese GDP since the oil crisis of 1974, and marks three times the decline of the US for the same quarter.  Many companies in Japan are blaming this year’s poor results on the strength of the JPY, which is seriously hurting the export-driven nation.  And though they may not say it explicitly, the central bank could be forced to intervene in currency markets in order to stem the strength of the JPY–something we have seen in the past when it has gone below the 90 level. Read Full Article »