US dollar softens on weak data

November 19th, 2009

Market Highlights

  • US dollar softens on weak data
  • Gold past $1,150 record high

US dollar softens on weak data

The US dollar slipped against the EUR yesterday after its biggest gain in three weeks just the day before. After falling to US$1.485, it recovered till just short of US$1.50 levels. Fresh data did little to change views that the U.S. interest rates will remain at record lows well into 2010. Reports showing slightly higher-than-expected U.S. inflation and a slide in new home construction. Most dealers acknowledge that the dollar’s long term declining trend is intact. Depsite the possibility that the Federal Reserve may be withdrawing its massive stimulus injection soon, they are still confident that the Federal Reserve would refrain from raising its record low interest rates. St. Louis Fed President James Bullard commented on Wednesday that officials will probably adjust asset-purchase programs before they resort to hiking rates.

“That throws cold water on any lingering thoughts of rate hikes,” said Jacob Oubina, strategist at Forex.com in Bedminster, New Jersey.
This comment offsets the US dollar rally on Tuesday as covered in Wednesday’s commentary which spoke above the Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke being attentive to the US dollar’s value.

Gold past $1,150 record high

The bullion rose to a record high above $1,150 an ounce on Wednesday as stronger-than-expected U.S. consumer prices and a steadily weakening dollar stirred inflation fears and caused investors to seek refuge in the gold’s safe haven. “There is a lurking concern in the background that still exists,” said Bill O’Neill, partner at LOGIC Advisors, noting that investors were worried about the vulnerability of banks and the financial system.

Analysts commented that the precious metal remains firmly underpinned by technical support after several days of gains. With a buildup of momentum, it is likely that gold would continue to push for fresh highs in upcoming sessions.

By Ho Canjie, Corporate FX Dealer

Speculation on no recovery for US rates-EUR expected to advance

November 17th, 2009

USD continued to decline on speculation that there will be no recovery to the US interest rates in the very near future while maintaining the return on US assets lower than those in other countries including Australia and Norway, where interest rates are on the road to recovery. “The dollar will continue to be used as a funding currency amid rising risk appetite,” said Yoh Nihei, trading group manager at Tokai Tokyo Securities Co. in Tokyo. “The mainstream trend remains intact. The Fed will keep low rates for a while.”
Eur is expected to advance above US$1.50 in the near term.The euro was set to rise on speculation a rally in global equities will boost demand for higher-yielding assets. Yesterday, against SGD, Eur opened at 2.0668. Peaked at 2.0785 and hit a low of 2.0621. Against USD, Eur opened at 1.4923. Hit a high of 1.5015 and was at a low of 1.4878.

By Agnes Chong, Account Mananger

Obama tours Asia

November 16th, 2009

Market Highlights

  • Obama in China faces tension on trade and Tibet
  • Singapore: PM Lee, Obama reaffirm excellent ties in bilateral meeting

Obama in China – faces tensions on trade and Tibet

U.S. President Barack Obama faces tensions with China over trade and Tibet on his first visit to the emerging superpower for a summit that will grapple with economic imbalances and the future of the yuan.
Obama arrived in Shanghai, late on Sunday and is due to meet city Read Full Article »

Sharp Fall for Allied Nations

November 12th, 2009

Market HIghlights

  • USD and GBP fell broadly
  • Equities gain on positive China data

USD and GBP fell broadly

The USD fell broadly to a fresh 15 month against major currencies as downbeat official views on the US economy confirms that the Feds plan to keep interest rates low till next year due to a forecasted erratic economic recovery ahead. With a low interest rate, the USD would be deemed less attractive to Read Full Article »

AUD and NZD strengthen on improved business confidence

November 11th, 2009

Market Highlights

  • AUD and NZD strengthen on improved business confidence
  • German investor confidence weakened

AUD and NZD strengthen on improved business confidence

The AUD and NZD has been strengthening in the recent week as things seem to be starting to be picking up in the Australian economy. Both business confidence and conditions in Australia have increased in a recent survey conducted by National Australian Bank (NAB).

NAB reported that business confidence gained 2 points to 16 and business Read Full Article »